Toe the Slab

Today · June 1615 MLB GAMES SCHEDULED

Every MLB start, ranked.

Probable starters, form, matchup context, and last night's best pitching lines.

GS+ scores a single start on a 0-100 scale, with league average around 50.Methodology

IP 9.0 · H 1 · ER 0 · BB 1 · K 9

View log
Dustin May throws a complete-game shutout

Start of the night · Last night · June 15

77

GS+

Dustin May

STL vs SD

#1 of 20 · league avg 50

Tonight

Tonight's Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

See tonight's full slate

Must-watch

TB @ LAD

Pregame / / UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Park 0.9860F / 2 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

TB / away

Drew Rasmussen

Form 56.4 · 2.08 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest88 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 57.06.0 IP / 6.7 K / 1.3 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.805 OPS20.3% KOPS rank 1st
Proj K 6.7 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Drew Rasmussen recent form GS+: 40, 62, 33, 72, 75

The hook

53.5

score

Top watch score on the slate

TBForm clashLAD

Drew Rasmussen recent form GS+: 40, 62, 33, 72, 75

Justin Wrobleski recent form GS+: 48, 33, 70, 55, 33

LAD / home

Justin Wrobleski

Form 47.8 · 3.77 ERA

→Steady +0.0
5d rest91 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 48.45.2 IP / 4.2 K / 2.0 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.735 OPS19.7% KOPS rank 10th
Proj K 4.2 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Justin Wrobleski recent form GS+: 48, 33, 70, 55, 33

Top arm

56.4

Pairing

52.1

#2

Must-watch

LAA @ AZ

Pregame / / Chase Field / #2 of 15 watch rank

Park 1.03Indoor

10th matchup

Top arm

57.0

Pairing

48.6

Reid Detmers

LAA

Form 57.0 · 3.62 ERA

→Steady +1.3
6d rest92 pitch avg
K-rate ↑
Proj GS+ 56.76.1 IP / 8.2 K / 2.5 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.763 OPS16.8% KOPS rank 5th
Proj K 8.2 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Reid Detmers recent form GS+: 30, 78, 46, 62, 69

Merrill Kelly

AZ

Form 40.2 · 3.99 ERA

→Steady -2.6
5d rest87 pitch avg
K-rate ↓
Proj GS+ 39.96.0 IP / 2.8 K / 2.7 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.712 OPS24.8% KOPS rank 13th
Proj K 2.8 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Merrill Kelly recent form GS+: 43, 51, 39, 24, 44

#3

Must-watch

BAL @ SEA

Pregame / / T-Mobile Park / #3 of 15 watch rank

Park 0.95Indoor

4th matchup

Top arm

52.0

Pairing

51.6

Brandon Young

BAL

Form 51.2 · 2.08 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest87 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 51.66.0 IP / 4.5 K / 1.3 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.745 OPS22.2% KOPS rank 9th
Proj K 4.5 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Brandon Young recent form GS+: 41, 55, 52, 46, 62

Logan Gilbert

SEA

Form 52.0 · 3.34 ERA

→Steady +0.0
7d rest97 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 51.66.0 IP / 6.1 K / 2.2 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 6.1 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Logan Gilbert recent form GS+: 36, 59, 59, 50, 56

Today

Closest matchups tonight

The strongest, most evenly matched matchups on tonight's slate.

Full duels board
Biggest gap tonight: LAA @ AZ · 17-pt edge to LAA ->

Rolling form trend

Who's Hot, Who's Not

Last 5 qualified starts, movement, and next probable start context.

Form through 2026-06-15

See the full board

League temperature / 149 qualified starters

On fire1Hot9Even89Cooling50Ice cold0
▲

On fire & hot

Jacob Misiorowski

MIL · RHP
🔥 ON FIRE

69.2

↓ -0.3

RGS

Heat880

Jacob Misiorowski recent GS+: 65, 71, 70, 60, 80

Going deeperK-rate ↑Run prevention

Next start

TBD

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

LAD · LHP
HOT

60.8

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat790

Yoshinobu Yamamoto recent GS+: 62, 51, 66, 59, 66

Going deeperRun preventionWalks ↓

Next start

TBD

Dustin May

STL · RHP
HOT

60.0

↑ +3.0

RGS

Heat79+3

Dustin May recent GS+: 43, 66, 53, 61, 77

Going deeperK-rate ↑Run prevention

Next start

TBD

Logan Webb

SF · LHP
HOT

59.5

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat790

Logan Webb recent GS+: 48, 61, 63, 66

Going deeperRun preventionWalks ↓

Next start

TBD

Bryce Miller

SEA · RHP
HOT

59.6

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat780

Bryce Miller recent GS+: 44, 65, 62, 66, 61

Run preventionWalks ↓

Next start

TBD

▼

Cooling & ice cold

Jacob Lopez

ATH · RHP
Cooling

30.7

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat120

Jacob Lopez recent GS+: 43, 28, 21

Short outingsGetting hitWalks ↑

Next start

TBD

Aaron Civale

ATH · RHP
Cooling

31.3

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat150

Aaron Civale recent GS+: 42, 31, 21

K-rate ↓Getting hit

Next start

vs PIT · Jun 17

Mitch Keller

PIT · LHP
Cooling

35.2

↑ +0.9

RGS

Heat19+1

Mitch Keller recent GS+: 41, 53, 22, 30, 30

Getting hit

Next start

@ATH · Jun 16

Bailey Ober

MIN · LHP
Cooling

30.3

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat200

Bailey Ober recent GS+: 35, 36, 20

K-rate ↓Getting hit

Next start

TBD

Coleman Crow

MIL · LHP
Cooling

37.7

→ 0.0

RGS

Heat220

Coleman Crow recent GS+: 52, 41, 20

Short outingsK-rate ↓

Next start

TBD

Settled results / Yesterday / Jun 15

Ranked Starts Recap

Final starter lines only: 20 scored starts from the completed slate, ranked by GS+.

See all 20 starts

Slate swarm

The night at a glance

avg 45.9 GS+

20304050607080avg 45.9 GS+Tobias Myers (NYM) / Poor / 1.1 IP, 4 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 1 K / GS+ 20MyersMitch Spence (KC) / Poor / 4.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 1 K / GS+ 23Jared Jones (PIT) / Poor / 4.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 4 K / GS+ 29Ryan Gusto (MIA) / Poor / 4.2 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 1 K / GS+ 29Kai-Wei Teng (HOU) / Below / 3.1 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 9 K / GS+ 38Walbert Ureña (LAA) / Below / 7.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K / GS+ 41Eric Lauer (LAD) / Below / 6.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 42Mike Paredes (MIN) / Solid / 4.2 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 2 K / GS+ 44Wandy Peralta (SD) / Solid / 1.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K / GS+ 44Andrew Alvarez (WSH) / Solid / 4.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 48Drew Anderson (DET) / Solid / 2.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K / GS+ 51Michael Lorenzen (COL) / Solid / 5.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 51Nick Martinez (TB) / Solid / 5.1 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 51Ryne Nelson (AZ) / Solid / 7.0 IP, 9 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 5 K / GS+ 51Shota Imanaga (CHC) / Solid / 5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 K / GS+ 51J.T. Ginn (ATH) / Solid / 6.0 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K / GS+ 53MacKenzie Gore (TEX) / Solid / 7.0 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 10 K / GS+ 54Chase Burns (CIN) / Solid / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 7 K / GS+ 56Zack Wheeler (PHI) / Plus / 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 9 K / GS+ 64WheelerDustin May (STL) / Elite / 9.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 9 K / GS+ 77May
Ranked starts swarm data
Dustin MaySTL779
Zack WheelerPHI646
Chase BurnsCIN565
MacKenzie GoreTEX547
J.T. GinnATH536
Ryne NelsonAZ517
Shota ImanagaCHC515.2
Nick MartinezTB515.1
Michael LorenzenCOL515
Drew AndersonDET512.2
Andrew AlvarezWSH484
Mike ParedesMIN444.2
Wandy PeraltaSD441
Eric LauerLAD426
Walbert UreñaLAA417
Kai-Wei TengHOU383.1
Ryan GustoMIA294.2
Jared JonesPIT294
Mitch SpenceKC234
Tobias MyersNYM201.1

Rough ones

#18

Jared Jones

PIT / 4.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 4 K

GS+ 29#19

Mitch Spence

KC / 4.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

GS+ 23#20

Tobias Myers

NYM / 1.1 IP, 4 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 1 K

GS+ 20

Evergreen

Start of the Week / Month

The daily Spotlight is disposable. These are the rolling-window starts worth revisiting.

Best starts archive

7-day / 30-day best

Tops the last 7 and 30 days

Jacob Misiorowski

MIL vs PHI / June 12

80

GS+

Highlight via MLB on YouTube